TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 2Tuesday 13 October · 17:45 · Bank Respublika Arena
Sabah Baku25th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Slavia Prague32nd place
SAB 60%X 19%SLA 21%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Sabah Baku lead by 89 points on the European rating.
  • If Sabah Baku score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Slavia Prague score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sabah Baku win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.66X19%5.21221%4.83
Double chance
1X79%1.26X240%2.511281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sabah Baku · Columns: Slavia Prague2-0 probability 9.7% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Sabah Baku – Slavia Prague13 October 20262-0