TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 6Wednesday 9 December · 20:00 · Emirates Stadium
Arsenal7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Real Madrid4th place
ARS 64%X 18%RMA 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 123 points on the European rating.
  • The Premier League average is 144 points above the La Liga average.
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X18%5.54218%5.61
Double chance
1X82%1.22X236%2.791282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Arsenal · Columns: Real Madrid2-0 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →