TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 6Wednesday 9 December · 17:45 · Tehelné pole
Slovan Bratislava36th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Shakhtar Donetsk17th place
SLO 24%X 21%SHA 55%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Shakhtar Donetsk lead by 203 points on the European rating.
  • If Slovan Bratislava score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If Shakhtar Donetsk score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Shakhtar Donetsk win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.16X21%4.75255%1.82
Double chance
1X45%2.22X276%1.321279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes58%1.74BTTS no42%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Slovan Bratislava · Columns: Shakhtar Donetsk1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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