TR
Picks
Champions League · League phase, matchday 6Wednesday 9 December · 20:00 · MHP Arena
VFB 66%X 18%LIL 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 137 points on the European rating.
  • The Bundesliga average is 62 points above the Ligue 1 average.
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Lille score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.52X18%5.68217%6.00
Double chance
1X83%1.20X234%2.921282%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Lille2-0 probability 11.1%