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Conference League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 10 December · 17:45 · Europa-Park Stadion
Freiburg12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Panathinaikos30th place
SCF 61%X 19%PAN 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Freiburg lead by 98 points on the European rating.
  • If Freiburg score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Panathinaikos score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Freiburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X19%5.31220%4.99
Double chance
1X80%1.25X239%2.571281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Freiburg · Columns: Panathinaikos1-1 probability 10.7%

Form

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