GS
SHA
BLB
CHA
DER
POR
PNE
QPR
WAT
BIR
WBA
ATM
BAR
BOD
FEY
LAS
MUN
VIL
REN
AEK
FB
CAR
WRE
BRC
Lincoln Red Imps23rd place
FC Midtjylland25th placeLIN 23%X 21%MID 56%
Prediction
Key factors
- FC Midtjylland lead by 215 points on the European rating.
- If Lincoln Red Imps score first, they win 49% of the time
- If FC Midtjylland score first, they win 78% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a FC Midtjylland win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.38X21%4.80256%1.78
Double chance
1X44%2.29X277%1.301279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.31BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lincoln Red Imps · Columns: FC Midtjylland1-1 probability 11.3%