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Conference League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 10 December · 17:45 · Stadions Skonto
Riga FC31st place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Atalanta3rd place
RIG 46%X 21%ATA 33%

Prediction

  • If Riga FC score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Riga FC win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.20X21%4.65233%3.03
Double chance
1X67%1.49X254%1.841279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Riga FC · Columns: Atalanta1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

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