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Conference League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 10 December · 15:30 · Ortalıq Stadion Almatı
Kairat Almaty20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Universitatea Craiova36th place
KAI 35%X 22%UNI 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Universitatea Craiova lead by 107 points on the European rating.
  • If Kairat Almaty score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Universitatea Craiova score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Universitatea Craiova win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.85X22%4.55243%2.33
Double chance
1X57%1.75X265%1.541278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kairat Almaty · Columns: Universitatea Craiova1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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