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Conference League · League phase, matchday 5Thursday 10 December · 17:45 · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Iberia 199917th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Crvena Zvezda9th place
IBE 51%X 21%CRV 28%

Prediction

  • If Iberia 1999 score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Crvena Zvezda score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Iberia 1999 win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.97X21%4.79228%3.51
Double chance
1X72%1.40X249%2.031279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.51

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Iberia 1999 · Columns: Crvena Zvezda1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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