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Europa League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 10 December · 17:45 · Lotto Park
Anderlecht22nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Hoffenheim23rd place
AND 49%X 21%TSG 30%

Prediction

  • If Anderlecht score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Anderlecht win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.04X21%4.74230%3.34
Double chance
1X70%1.43X251%1.961279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Anderlecht · Columns: Hoffenheim1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

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