TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 10 December · 17:45 · Turner Stadium
HAP 33%X 22%JUV 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 123 points on the European rating.
  • If Hapoel Be'er Sheva score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.02X22%4.56245%2.22
Double chance
1X55%1.82X267%1.491278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hapoel Be'er Sheva · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 11.8%