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Europa League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 10 December · 20:00 · Estádio da Luz
Benfica1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
OFI26th place
BEN 73%X 15%OFI 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Benfica lead by 205 points on the European rating.
  • If Benfica score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If OFI score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.38X15%6.49212%8.40
Double chance
1X88%1.14X227%3.661285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes46%2.19BTTS no54%1.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Benfica · Columns: OFI2-0 probability 13.2%

Form

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