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Süper Lig · Matchday 31Sunday 2 May · 13:00 · Gain Park Stadyumu
Alanyaspor12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Amed SK2nd place
ALN 28%X 26%AMD 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Alanyaspor -1.0.
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Alanyaspor 0.8.
  • Amed SK lead by 76 rating points.
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Amed SK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.55X26%3.86246%2.18
Double chance
1X54%1.85X272%1.391274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alanyaspor · Columns: Amed SK1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

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