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Süper Lig · Matchday 31Sunday 2 May · 13:00 · Çorum Şehir Stadyumu
Çorum FK7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Trabzonspor3rd place
ÇOR 28%X 26%TS 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 154 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Çorum FK 1.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Trabzonspor 0.5, Çorum FK -0.1.
  • If Çorum FK score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.8
Over 2.563%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.56X26%3.78245%2.20
Double chance
1X55%1.83X272%1.391274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.69BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Çorum FK · Columns: Trabzonspor1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

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