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Süper Lig · Matchday 31Sunday 2 May · 13:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Beşiktaş4th place
SAM 24%X 25%BJK 51%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 187 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • Last 5 games: Beşiktaş 1.4 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.556%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.24X25%3.94251%1.96
Double chance
1X49%2.04X276%1.311275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Samsunspor – Beşiktaş19 April 20262-1
Beşiktaş – Samsunspor23 November 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Samsunspor18 January 20250-0
Samsunspor – Beşiktaş11 August 20240-2
Beşiktaş – Samsunspor13 April 20241-1
Samsunspor – Beşiktaş26 November 20231-2