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Süper Lig · Matchday 31Sunday 2 May · 13:00 · Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu
Göztepe9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Kasımpaşa5th place
GÖZ 56%X 25%KAS 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Göztepe 2.6 points per game, Kasımpaşa 1.6.
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.552%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Göztepe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.77X25%4.00219%5.36
Double chance
1X81%1.23X244%2.291275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Göztepe · Columns: Kasımpaşa1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

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Head to head

Göztepe – Kasımpaşa12 April 20263-3
Kasımpaşa – Göztepe8 November 20250-2
Kasımpaşa – Göztepe30 May 20251-2
Göztepe – Kasımpaşa13 January 20255-0
Göztepe – Kasımpaşa5 March 20222-3
Kasımpaşa – Göztepe17 October 20211-2