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Süper Lig · Matchday 31Sunday 2 May · 13:00 · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu
Rizespor13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Galatasaray1st place
RİZ 21%X 23%GS 56%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 232 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Rizespor 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Rizespor 0.1.
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 47% of the time
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.0
Over 2.562%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Galatasaray win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.76X23%4.28256%1.80
Double chance
1X44%2.25X279%1.271277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.562%1.61Under 2.538%2.65BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rizespor · Columns: Galatasaray1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rizespor – Galatasaray8 February 20260-3
Galatasaray – Rizespor30 August 20253-1
Rizespor – Galatasaray17 February 20251-2
Galatasaray – Rizespor14 September 20245-0
Galatasaray – Rizespor8 March 20246-2
Rizespor – Galatasaray28 October 20230-1