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Süper Lig · Matchday 7Saturday 10 October · 14:00 · Gain Park Stadyumu
Alanyaspor12th place
Full time0-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Erzurumspor11th place
ALN 62%X 24%ERZ 14%

What does the market say?

AlanyasporDrawErzurumsporRinvalo62%24%14%
Market47%28%25%

✓ Agree · both back Alanyaspor

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Alanyaspor lead by 91 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Alanyaspor -0.1, Erzurumspor -0.9.
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.7
Over 2.543%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.61X24%4.23214%7.01
Double chance
1X86%1.17X238%2.641276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.543%2.32Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes41%2.42BTTS no59%1.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Alanyaspor · Columns: Erzurumspor0-0 probability 9.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Alanyaspor – Erzurumspor10 October 20260-0