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Süper Lig · Matchday 7Saturday 10 October · 11:30 · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği14th place
Full time2-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✕ Missed
Amed SK2nd place
GB 29%X 26%AMD 45%

What does the market say?

GençlerbirliğiDrawAmed SKRinvalo29%26%45%
Market31%27%43%

✓ Agree · both back Amed SK

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 0.9, Gençlerbirliği -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.0 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.8.
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.8
Over 2.560%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Amed SK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.47X26%3.85245%2.21
Double chance
1X55%1.82X271%1.411274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.52BTTS yes62%1.60BTTS no38%2.66

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gençlerbirliği · Columns: Amed SK2-2 probability 6.3% · final score

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Amed SK10 October 20262-2