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Süper Lig · Matchday 7Saturday 10 October · 17:00 · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu
Rizespor13th place
Full time0-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Fenerbahçe6th place
RİZ 23%X 24%FB 53%

What does the market say?

RizesporDrawFenerbahçeRinvalo23%24%53%
Market21%24%55%

✓ Agree · both back Fenerbahçe

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 162 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 1.1, Rizespor -0.2.
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.3 – 2.0
Over 2.565%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Fenerbahçe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.34X24%4.14253%1.89
Double chance
1X47%2.12X277%1.301276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.86BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rizespor · Columns: Fenerbahçe0-3 probability 4.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Rizespor – Fenerbahçe10 October 20260-3
Fenerbahçe – Rizespor17 April 20262-2
Rizespor – Fenerbahçe23 November 20252-5
Fenerbahçe – Rizespor2 February 20253-2
Rizespor – Fenerbahçe25 August 20240-5
Rizespor – Fenerbahçe17 February 20241-3