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Süper Lig · Matchday 7Saturday 10 October · 14:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Full time0-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Trabzonspor3rd place
SAM 33%X 28%TS 39%

What does the market say?

SamsunsporDrawTrabzonsporRinvalo33%28%39%
Market27%25%48%

✓ Agree · both back Trabzonspor

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 136 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 1.8 points per game, Samsunspor 0.6.
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.552%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.03X28%3.60239%2.55
Double chance
1X61%1.64X267%1.491272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Trabzonspor0-3 probability 3.2% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Samsunspor – Trabzonspor10 October 20260-3
Samsunspor – Trabzonspor7 February 20260-3
Trabzonspor – Samsunspor31 August 20251-1
Trabzonspor – Samsunspor25 May 20252-2
Samsunspor – Trabzonspor4 January 20252-1
Samsunspor – Trabzonspor4 May 20243-1