TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 18Sunday 24 January · 12:00 · Gain Park Stadyumu
Alanyaspor12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Gaziantep FK16th place
ALN 48%X 27%GFK 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Alanyaspor 0.8 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.547%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alanyaspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.07X27%3.67224%4.11
Double chance
1X76%1.32X252%1.941273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alanyaspor · Columns: Gaziantep FK1-1 probability 13.0%

Head to head

Gaziantep FK – Alanyaspor15 August 20261-1
Gaziantep FK – Alanyaspor4 April 20261-1
Alanyaspor – Gaziantep FK3 November 20250-0
Gaziantep FK – Alanyaspor9 May 20250-1
Alanyaspor – Gaziantep FK14 December 20243-0
Gaziantep FK – Alanyaspor2 April 20240-3