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Süper Lig · Matchday 18Sunday 24 January · 12:00 · Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu
Göztepe9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Samsunspor17th place
GÖZ 65%X 22%SAM 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Göztepe 2.6 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • Göztepe lead by 139 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Göztepe 0.3, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.559%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.55X22%4.64214%7.24
Double chance
1X86%1.16X235%2.831278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Göztepe · Columns: Samsunspor2-0 probability 10.9%

Form

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Head to head

Samsunspor – Göztepe17 August 20263-3
Samsunspor – Göztepe16 May 20263-0
Göztepe – Samsunspor21 December 20252-0
Göztepe – Samsunspor3 March 20252-2
Samsunspor – Göztepe28 September 20244-3