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Süper Lig · Matchday 18Sunday 24 January · 12:00 · Kocaeli Stadyumu
Kocaelispor8th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Başakşehir10th place
KOC 34%X 30%İBFK 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir lead by 79 rating points.
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.539%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.91X30%3.34236%2.80
Double chance
1X64%1.55X266%1.521270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.539%2.59Under 2.561%1.63BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kocaelispor · Columns: Başakşehir1-1 probability 14.3%

Form

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Head to head

Başakşehir – Kocaelispor16 August 20262-0
Kocaelispor – Başakşehir6 April 20260-0
Başakşehir – Kocaelispor31 October 20251-0