TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 18Sunday 24 January · 12:00 · Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Amed SK2nd place
ERZ 23%X 24%AMD 53%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • Amed SK lead by 92 rating points.
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.9
Over 2.558%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Amed SK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.44X24%4.10253%1.88
Double chance
1X47%2.13X277%1.291276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.558%1.74Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.39

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Amed SK1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Amed SK – Erzurumspor16 August 20263-0