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Süper Lig · Matchday 18Sunday 24 January · 12:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Kasımpaşa5th place
TS 65%X 22%KAS 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 150 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Kasımpaşa 1.6.
  • Trabzonspor take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.55X22%4.53213%7.45
Double chance
1X87%1.16X236%2.821278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.557%1.77Under 2.543%2.30BTTS yes51%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Kasımpaşa2-0 probability 11.3%

Form

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Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Trabzonspor15 August 20261-1
Trabzonspor – Kasımpaşa23 January 20262-1
Kasımpaşa – Trabzonspor18 August 20250-1
Kasımpaşa – Trabzonspor5 May 20251-1
Trabzonspor – Kasımpaşa6 December 20242-2
Trabzonspor – Kasımpaşa29 January 20242-3