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Süper Lig · Matchday 15Saturday 12 December · 13:00 · Gain Park Stadyumu
Alanyaspor12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Samsunspor17th place
ALN 44%X 28%SAM 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Alanyaspor 0.8 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alanyaspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X28%3.59228%3.58
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.791272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alanyaspor · Columns: Samsunspor1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Alanyaspor – Samsunspor27 April 20262-3
Samsunspor – Alanyaspor1 December 20251-1
Alanyaspor – Samsunspor21 April 20251-0
Samsunspor – Alanyaspor24 November 20241-1
Samsunspor – Alanyaspor18 May 20241-1
Alanyaspor – Samsunspor25 December 20233-1