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Süper Lig · Matchday 15Sunday 13 December · 10:30 · Kocaeli Stadyumu
Kocaelispor8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Gençlerbirliği14th place
KOC 50%X 29%GB 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Kocaelispor -0.1, Gençlerbirliği -0.9.
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.3 – 0.8
Over 2.535%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.02X29%3.46222%4.64
Double chance
1X78%1.27X250%1.981271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.535%2.87Under 2.565%1.53BTTS yes40%2.48BTTS no60%1.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Kocaelispor · Columns: Gençlerbirliği1-0 probability 15.4%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Kocaelispor26 April 20261-0
Kocaelispor – Gençlerbirliği28 November 20251-0