TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 15Monday 14 December · 17:00 · Gaziantep Stadyumu
Gaziantep FK16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Beşiktaş4th place
GFK 20%X 24%BJK 57%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 205 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Beşiktaş 1.4 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%5.12X24%4.19257%1.77
Double chance
1X43%2.30X280%1.241276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gaziantep FK · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 11.5%

Head to head

Gaziantep FK – Beşiktaş1 May 20260-2
Beşiktaş – Gaziantep FK8 December 20252-2
Beşiktaş – Gaziantep FK10 March 20251-2
Gaziantep FK – Beşiktaş6 October 20241-1
Gaziantep FK – Beşiktaş11 March 20242-0
Beşiktaş – Gaziantep FK30 October 20232-0