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Süper Lig · Matchday 15Friday 11 December · 17:00 · Çorum Şehir Stadyumu
Çorum FK7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Amed SK2nd place
ÇOR 31%X 26%AMD 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Çorum FK -0.1.
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Çorum FK 1.8.
  • If Çorum FK score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.8 – 2.1
Over 2.574%
Both teams score73%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Amed SK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.18X26%3.86243%2.35
Double chance
1X57%1.74X269%1.461274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.574%1.35Under 2.526%3.83BTTS yes73%1.37BTTS no27%3.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Çorum FK · Columns: Amed SK1-1 probability 8.4%

Form

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