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Süper Lig · Matchday 14Saturday 5 December · 13:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Alanyaspor12th place
AMD 72%X 17%ALN 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Alanyaspor -1.0.
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Alanyaspor 0.8.
  • Amed SK take 3.0 points per game at home.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.9
Over 2.567%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.39X17%5.74210%9.59
Double chance
1X90%1.12X228%3.591283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%3.01BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.23

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Alanyaspor2-0 probability 10.3%

Form

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