TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 14Sunday 6 December · 16:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Çorum FK7th place
TS 67%X 21%ÇOR 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 154 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Çorum FK 1.8.
  • Trabzonspor take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Çorum FK score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.5 – 1.1
Over 2.569%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.50X21%4.84213%7.79
Double chance
1X87%1.15X233%2.991279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.569%1.46Under 2.531%3.18BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Çorum FK2-1 probability 9.5%