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Süper Lig · Matchday 14Sunday 6 December · 13:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Samsunspor17th place
BJK 72%X 18%SAM 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 187 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • Last 5 games: Beşiktaş 1.4 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.8
Over 2.562%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.39X18%5.50210%10.25
Double chance
1X90%1.11X228%3.581282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.61BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Samsunspor2-0 probability 11.8%

Form

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Head to head

Samsunspor – Beşiktaş19 April 20262-1
Beşiktaş – Samsunspor23 November 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Samsunspor18 January 20250-0
Samsunspor – Beşiktaş11 August 20240-2
Beşiktaş – Samsunspor13 April 20241-1
Samsunspor – Beşiktaş26 November 20231-2