TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 14Monday 7 December · 17:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Göztepe9th place
KAS 36%X 29%GÖZ 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Göztepe 2.6 points per game, Kasımpaşa 1.6.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Göztepe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.81X29%3.48236%2.80
Double chance
1X64%1.56X264%1.551271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Göztepe1-1 probability 13.3%

Head to head

Göztepe – Kasımpaşa12 April 20263-3
Kasımpaşa – Göztepe8 November 20250-2
Kasımpaşa – Göztepe30 May 20251-2
Göztepe – Kasımpaşa13 January 20255-0
Göztepe – Kasımpaşa5 March 20222-3
Kasımpaşa – Göztepe17 October 20211-2