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Süper Lig · Matchday 14Friday 4 December · 17:00 · Rams Park
Galatasaray1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Rizespor13th place
GS 76%X 16%RİZ 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 232 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Rizespor 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Rizespor 0.1.
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 28% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.8 – 0.9
Over 2.570%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
176%1.31X16%6.2928%12.58
Double chance
1X92%1.09X224%4.191284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.570%1.43Under 2.530%3.34BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Rizespor2-0 probability 10.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rizespor – Galatasaray8 February 20260-3
Galatasaray – Rizespor30 August 20253-1
Rizespor – Galatasaray17 February 20251-2
Galatasaray – Rizespor14 September 20245-0
Galatasaray – Rizespor8 March 20246-2
Rizespor – Galatasaray28 October 20230-1