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Süper Lig · Matchday 24Sunday 7 March · 12:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Gençlerbirliği14th place
AMD 68%X 19%GB 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Gençlerbirliği -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.8.
  • Amed SK take 3.0 points per game at home.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.0
Over 2.566%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X19%5.14213%7.96
Double chance
1X87%1.14X232%3.121281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.566%1.52Under 2.534%2.94BTTS yes58%1.74BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Gençlerbirliği2-0 probability 9.8%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Amed SK10 October 20262-2