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Süper Lig · Matchday 24Sunday 7 March · 12:00 · Chobani Stadyumu
Fenerbahçe6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Rizespor13th place
FB 72%X 18%RİZ 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 192 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Fenerbahçe 1.8 points per game, Rizespor 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Rizespor 0.1.
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 31% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.7 – 1.0
Over 2.571%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.39X18%5.59210%9.95
Double chance
1X90%1.11X228%3.581282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.571%1.41Under 2.529%3.42BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.43

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fenerbahçe · Columns: Rizespor2-0 probability 9.2%

Form

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Head to head

Rizespor – Fenerbahçe10 October 20260-3
Fenerbahçe – Rizespor17 April 20262-2
Rizespor – Fenerbahçe23 November 20252-5
Fenerbahçe – Rizespor2 February 20253-2
Rizespor – Fenerbahçe25 August 20240-5
Rizespor – Fenerbahçe17 February 20241-3