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Süper Lig · Matchday 24Sunday 7 March · 12:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Samsunspor17th place
TS 72%X 19%SAM 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 240 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Trabzonspor 0.5, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.9
Over 2.564%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.40X19%5.41210%10.13
Double chance
1X90%1.11X228%3.521282%1.23
Goals
Over 2.564%1.56Under 2.536%2.80BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Samsunspor2-0 probability 11.0%

Form

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Head to head

Samsunspor – Trabzonspor10 October 20260-3
Samsunspor – Trabzonspor7 February 20260-3
Trabzonspor – Samsunspor31 August 20251-1
Trabzonspor – Samsunspor25 May 20252-2
Samsunspor – Trabzonspor4 January 20252-1
Samsunspor – Trabzonspor4 May 20243-1