ERZ 41%X 29%ALN 30%
Prediction
Key factors
- Last 5 games: Erzurumspor 2.0 points per game, Alanyaspor 0.8.
- If Erzurumspor score first, they win 72% of the time
- If Alanyaspor score first, they win 63% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Erzurumspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.44X29%3.40230%3.38
Double chance
1X70%1.42X259%1.691271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.540%2.49Under 2.560%1.67BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.89
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Alanyaspor1-1 probability 14.1%
Form
Compare →Head to head
Alanyaspor – Erzurumspor10 October 20260-0
Erzurumspor11th place
Alanyaspor12th place