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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 24Sunday 7 March · 12:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Galatasaray1st place
KAS 21%X 25%GS 54%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 196 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Kasımpaşa 0.0.
  • Galatasaray take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Galatasaray win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.76X25%4.08254%1.84
Double chance
1X46%2.20X279%1.271275%1.32
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Galatasaray1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Galatasaray – Kasımpaşa9 October 20263-1
Kasımpaşa – Galatasaray17 May 20261-0
Galatasaray – Kasımpaşa21 December 20253-0
Kasımpaşa – Galatasaray2 March 20253-3
Galatasaray – Kasımpaşa28 September 20243-3
Kasımpaşa – Galatasaray17 March 20243-4