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Süper Lig · Matchday 16Friday 18 December · 17:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Göztepe9th place
AMD 56%X 24%GÖZ 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Amed SK take 3.0 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Göztepe 0.3.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.3
Over 2.567%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.80X24%4.22221%4.82
Double chance
1X79%1.26X244%2.251276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%2.99BTTS yes65%1.55BTTS no36%2.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Göztepe2-1 probability 9.6%

Form

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