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Süper Lig · Matchday 16Saturday 19 December · 16:00 · Rams Park
Galatasaray1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Alanyaspor12th place
GS 81%X 14%ALN 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 252 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Alanyaspor -1.0.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Alanyaspor 0.8.
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 25% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.6
Over 2.564%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
181%1.24X14%7.3926%16.86
Double chance
1X94%1.06X219%5.141286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.564%1.55Under 2.536%2.81BTTS yes44%2.28BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Alanyaspor2-0 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Galatasaray – Alanyaspor28 February 20263-1
Alanyaspor – Galatasaray26 September 20250-1
Alanyaspor – Galatasaray9 March 20251-2
Galatasaray – Alanyaspor6 October 20241-0
Alanyaspor – Galatasaray15 April 20240-4
Galatasaray – Alanyaspor25 November 20234-0