TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 16Sunday 20 December · 16:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Rizespor13th place
BJK 68%X 20%RİZ 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 134 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Beşiktaş 1.4 points per game, Rizespor 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Rizespor 0.1.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.560%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X20%4.98212%8.30
Double chance
1X88%1.14X232%3.111280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.560%1.68Under 2.540%2.48BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Rizespor2-0 probability 11.4%

Head to head

Rizespor – Beşiktaş15 May 20262-2
Beşiktaş – Rizespor20 December 20251-0
Beşiktaş – Rizespor25 May 20251-2
Rizespor – Beşiktaş3 January 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Rizespor3 May 20243-2
Rizespor – Beşiktaş9 January 20240-4