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Süper Lig · Matchday 16Saturday 19 December · 13:00 · Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Başakşehir10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Erzurumspor11th place
İBFK 67%X 21%ERZ 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir lead by 123 rating points.
  • Başakşehir take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Başakşehir 0.1, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.553%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.50X21%4.76212%8.11
Double chance
1X88%1.14X233%3.001279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes47%2.15BTTS no53%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Başakşehir · Columns: Erzurumspor2-0 probability 12.8%

Form

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