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Süper Lig · Matchday 16Monday 21 December · 17:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Kocaelispor8th place
TS 64%X 23%KOC 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 178 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Kocaelispor 1.4.
  • Trabzonspor take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.6
Over 2.542%
Both teams score39%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X23%4.29213%7.73
Double chance
1X87%1.15X236%2.761277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.542%2.37Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes39%2.54BTTS no61%1.65

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Kocaelispor1-0 probability 15.5%

Form

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Head to head

Kocaelispor – Trabzonspor18 January 20261-2
Trabzonspor – Kocaelispor11 August 20251-0