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Süper Lig · Matchday 21Sunday 14 February · 12:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Kasımpaşa5th place
AMD 61%X 22%KAS 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Amed SK take 3.0 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Kasımpaşa 0.0.
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Kasımpaşa 1.6.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.1
Over 2.565%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.63X22%4.47216%6.17
Double chance
1X84%1.19X239%2.591278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.565%1.53Under 2.535%2.88BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.55

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Kasımpaşa2-1 probability 9.8%

Form

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Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Amed SK6 September 20262-2