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Süper Lig · Matchday 21Sunday 14 February · 12:00 · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Trabzonspor3rd place
GB 19%X 24%TS 57%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 240 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Trabzonspor 0.5, Gençlerbirliği -0.9.
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.8
Over 2.552%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
119%5.13X24%4.17257%1.77
Double chance
1X43%2.30X281%1.241276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gençlerbirliği · Columns: Trabzonspor1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

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Head to head

Trabzonspor – Gençlerbirliği6 September 20265-0
Trabzonspor – Gençlerbirliği17 May 20260-3
Gençlerbirliği – Trabzonspor22 December 20254-3