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Süper Lig · Matchday 21Sunday 14 February · 12:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Kocaelispor8th place
SAM 40%X 30%KOC 30%

Prediction

  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.538%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Samsunspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.53X30%3.31230%3.30
Double chance
1X70%1.43X260%1.651270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.538%2.66Under 2.562%1.60BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Kocaelispor1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

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Head to head

Kocaelispor – Samsunspor6 September 20261-0
Samsunspor – Kocaelispor24 January 20260-0
Kocaelispor – Samsunspor16 August 20250-1