TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 21Sunday 14 February · 12:00 · Gaziantep Stadyumu
Gaziantep FK15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Göztepe9th place
GFK 27%X 26%GÖZ 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Göztepe lead by 157 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Göztepe 2.6 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Göztepe 0.3, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.6
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Göztepe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.72X26%3.78247%2.14
Double chance
1X53%1.87X273%1.371274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gaziantep FK · Columns: Göztepe1-1 probability 12.5%

Head to head

Göztepe – Gaziantep FK7 September 20262-4
Göztepe – Gaziantep FK9 May 20262-1
Gaziantep FK – Göztepe14 December 20250-1
Göztepe – Gaziantep FK7 April 20251-1
Gaziantep FK – Göztepe1 November 20242-1
Gaziantep FK – Göztepe23 April 20221-1