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Süper Lig · Matchday 21Sunday 14 February · 12:00 · Rams Park
Galatasaray1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Başakşehir10th place
GS 68%X 20%İBFK 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 145 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Başakşehir 0.1.
  • Galatasaray take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.0
Over 2.565%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X20%5.09212%8.23
Double chance
1X88%1.14X232%3.151280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.565%1.53Under 2.535%2.88BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Başakşehir2-0 probability 10.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Başakşehir – Galatasaray4 September 20262-3
Galatasaray – Başakşehir14 March 20263-0
Başakşehir – Galatasaray18 October 20251-2
Galatasaray – Başakşehir30 May 20252-0
Başakşehir – Galatasaray12 January 20251-2
Galatasaray – Başakşehir10 February 20242-0